Hull City v Crystal Palace
Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Hull's chances of going down to 24%, Crystal Palace's to 50%.
- Date
Win chances: Hull favored. Hull win 43%, draw 27%, Crystal Palace win 30%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Hull and Crystal Palace, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Hull 10th, Crystal Palace 18th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Hull 11, Crystal Palace 7, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Hull 3, Crystal Palace 4, league median 8 |
| Offense | Hull 1.08, Crystal Palace 1.33, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Hull 1.24, Crystal Palace 1.55, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Hull 32%, Crystal Palace 61%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Crystal Palace 0 | Crystal Palace 1 | Crystal Palace 2 | Crystal Palace 3 | Crystal Palace 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull 0 | 7% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Hull 1 | 9% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Hull 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Hull 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Hull 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Hull | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 32% | 61% |
| Hull win | , down 8 points24% | , up 7 points68% |
| Draw | , no change32% | , no change61% |
| Crystal Palace win | , up 9 points41% | , down 11 points50% |