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Hull City v Crystal Palace

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Hull's chances of going down to 24%, Crystal Palace's to 50%.

  • Date

Win chances: Hull favored. Hull win 43%, draw 27%, Crystal Palace win 30%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Hull and Crystal Palace, against the league median
PositionHull 10th, Crystal Palace 18th, league median 10.5th
PointsHull 11, Crystal Palace 7, league median 11
Points, last 5Hull 3, Crystal Palace 4, league median 8
OffenseHull 1.08, Crystal Palace 1.33, league median 1.45
DefenseHull 1.24, Crystal Palace 1.55, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsHull 32%, Crystal Palace 61%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Hull goals down, Crystal Palace goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Crystal Palace 0Crystal Palace 1Crystal Palace 2Crystal Palace 3Crystal Palace 4
Hull 07%7%5%2%1%
Hull 19%13%7%3%1%
Hull 27%9%6%2%1%
Hull 34%5%3%1%<1%
Hull 41%2%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Hull and Crystal Palace sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
9Aston Villa29−312
10Hull29+111
11Leeds29+111
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127
19Nott'm Forest29−66

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultHullCrystal Palace
Now32%61%
Hull win, down 8 points24%, up 7 points68%
Draw, no change32%, no change61%
Crystal Palace win, up 9 points41%, down 11 points50%