Hull City v Liverpool

HullHull City

12:30 PM ET

High stakesHigh stakesStakes 29 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 55%, a loss drops them to 40%.

• Date Saturday, December 26

Tale of the tape

	Hull and Liverpool, against the league medianHullLiverpool
Position	Hull 10th, Liverpool 5th, league median 10.5th10th5th
Points	Hull 11, Liverpool 15, league median 111115
Points, last 5	Hull 3, Liverpool 9, league median 839
Offense	Hull 1.08, Liverpool 1.66, league median 1.451.081.66
Defense	Hull 1.24, Liverpool 1.08, league median 1.241.241.08
Champions League odds	Hull <1%, Liverpool 49%, league median 2%<1%49%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Hull goals down, Liverpool goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Liverpool goals
		Liverpool 0	Liverpool 1	Liverpool 2	Liverpool 3	Liverpool 4
Hull goals	Hull 0	8%	11%	9%	5%	2%
	Hull 1	7%	13%	9%	5%	2%
	Hull 2	4%	6%	5%	3%	1%
	Hull 3	1%	2%	2%	1%	<1%
	Hull 4	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Hull and Liverpool sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
4	Chelsea	29	+4	16	28%
5	Liverpool	29	+2	15	49%
6	Brentford	29	+7	14	15%
…
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	<1%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	3%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	HullRelegation	LiverpoolChampions League
Now	32%	49%
Hull win	, down 10 points22%	, down 9 points40%
Draw	, no change32%	, down 3 points46%
Liverpool win	, up 4 points36%	, up 6 points55%