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Hull City v Manchester City

Man City is 6 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 93%, a loss to 85%.

  • Date

Win chances: Man City favored. Hull win 22%, draw 25%, Man City win 53%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Hull and Man City, against the league median
PositionHull 10th, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th
PointsHull 11, Man City 21, league median 11
Points, last 5Hull 3, Man City 9, league median 8
OffenseHull 1.08, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45
DefenseHull 1.24, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsHull <1%, Man City 90%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Hull goals down, Man City goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Man City 0Man City 1Man City 2Man City 3Man City 4
Hull 07%10%9%5%2%
Hull 16%12%10%6%2%
Hull 23%6%5%3%1%
Hull 31%2%2%1%<1%
Hull 4<1%1%<1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Hull and Man City sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
9Aston Villa29−312
10Hull29+111
11Leeds29+111

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultHullRelegationMan CityChampions League
Now32%90%
Hull win, down 10 points22%, down 5 points85%
Draw, no change32%, down 1 point89%
Man City win, up 3 points35%, up 3 points93%