Hull City v Newcastle United

HullHull City

11:00 AM ET

NewcastleNewcastle United

Newcastle is 5 points out with 30 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

• Date Sunday, May 30

Tale of the tape

	Hull and Newcastle, against the league medianHullNewcastle
Position	Hull 10th, Newcastle 12th, league median 10.5th10th12th
Points	Hull 11, Newcastle 11, league median 111111
Points, last 5	Hull 3, Newcastle 6, league median 836
Offense	Hull 1.08, Newcastle 1.46, league median 1.451.081.46
Defense	Hull 1.24, Newcastle 1.36, league median 1.241.241.36
Relegation odds	Hull 32%, Newcastle 7%, league median 7%32%7%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Hull goals down, Newcastle goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.

		Newcastle goals
		Newcastle 0	Newcastle 1	Newcastle 2	Newcastle 3	Newcastle 4
Hull goals	Hull 0	8%	8%	6%	3%	1%
	Hull 1	8%	13%	8%	4%	1%
	Hull 2	6%	8%	6%	3%	1%
	Hull 3	3%	4%	2%	1%	<1%
	Hull 4	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Hull and Newcastle sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	3%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	32%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	36%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Hull	Newcastle
Now	32%	7%
Hull win	, down 9 points23%	, up 3 points10%
Draw	, up 1 point33%	, up 1 point8%
Newcastle win	, up 7 points39%	, down 2 points5%