Hull City v Nottingham Forest

HullHull City

3:00 PM ET

High stakesHigh stakesStakes 31 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.

Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest

The table says 10th vs. 19th, but the win chances are 35% and 35%.

• Date Wednesday, December 2

Tale of the tape

	Hull and Nott'm Forest, against the league medianHullNott'm Forest
Position	Hull 10th, Nott'm Forest 19th, league median 10.5th10th19th
Points	Hull 11, Nott'm Forest 6, league median 11116
Points, last 5	Hull 3, Nott'm Forest 1, league median 831
Offense	Hull 1.08, Nott'm Forest 1.28, league median 1.451.081.28
Defense	Hull 1.24, Nott'm Forest 1.23, league median 1.241.241.23
Relegation odds	Hull 32%, Nott'm Forest 29%, league median 7%32%29%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Hull goals down, Nott'm Forest goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 14%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.

		Nott'm Forest goals
		Nott'm Forest 0	Nott'm Forest 1	Nott'm Forest 2	Nott'm Forest 3	Nott'm Forest 4
Hull goals	Hull 0	10%	10%	6%	3%	1%
	Hull 1	10%	14%	8%	3%	1%
	Hull 2	7%	8%	5%	2%	1%
	Hull 3	3%	3%	2%	1%	<1%
	Hull 4	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Hull and Nott'm Forest sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	3%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	32%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
…
18	Crystal Palace	29	−12	7	61%
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	29%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	55%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Hull	Nott'm Forest
Now	32%	29%
Hull win	, down 10 points22%	, up 6 points35%
Draw	, up 2 points34%	, up 1 point30%
Nott'm Forest win	, up 7 points39%	, down 8 points21%