Hull City v Sunderland

HullHull City

3:00 PM ET

SunderlandSunderland

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Hull's chances of going down to 23%, Sunderland's to 45%.

• Date Wednesday, February 10

Tale of the tape

	Hull and Sunderland, against the league medianHullSunderland
Position	Hull 10th, Sunderland 20th, league median 10.5th10th20th
Points	Hull 11, Sunderland 5, league median 11115
Points, last 5	Hull 3, Sunderland 1, league median 831
Offense	Hull 1.08, Sunderland 1.17, league median 1.451.081.17
Defense	Hull 1.24, Sunderland 1.31, league median 1.241.241.31
Relegation odds	Hull 32%, Sunderland 55%, league median 7%32%55%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Hull goals down, Sunderland goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 14%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.

		Sunderland goals
		Sunderland 0	Sunderland 1	Sunderland 2	Sunderland 3	Sunderland 4
Hull goals	Hull 0	10%	9%	6%	2%	1%
	Hull 1	11%	14%	7%	3%	1%
	Hull 2	8%	8%	5%	2%	<1%
	Hull 3	3%	4%	2%	1%	<1%
	Hull 4	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Hull and Sunderland sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	3%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	32%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
…
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	29%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	55%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Hull	Sunderland
Now	32%	55%
Hull win	, down 9 points23%	, up 8 points63%
Draw	, up 1 point33%	, up 2 points57%
Sunderland win	, up 9 points41%	, down 10 points45%