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Ipswich Town v Arsenal

A win cuts Ipswich's chances of going down to 24%; a loss raises them to 39%.

  • Date

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Ipswich win 14%, draw 20%, Arsenal win 66%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Ipswich and Arsenal, against the league median
PositionIpswich 13th, Arsenal 1st, league median 10.5th
PointsIpswich 11, Arsenal 24, league median 11
Points, last 5Ipswich 5, Arsenal 12, league median 8
OffenseIpswich 1.48, Arsenal 1.79, league median 1.45
DefenseIpswich 1.69, Arsenal 0.73, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsIpswich <1%, Arsenal >99%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Ipswich goals down, Arsenal goals across. The most likely is 0–2 at 10%. The chance either side scores five or more is 8%.
Arsenal 0Arsenal 1Arsenal 2Arsenal 3Arsenal 4
Ipswich 05%8%10%8%4%
Ipswich 13%9%10%7%4%
Ipswich 22%4%5%4%2%
Ipswich 31%1%2%1%1%
Ipswich 4<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Ipswich and Arsenal sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
12Newcastle30−211
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultIpswichRelegationArsenalTitle
Now36%80%
Ipswich win, down 12 points24%, down 7 points73%
Draw, down 2 points34%, down 1 point79%
Arsenal win, up 3 points39%, up 3 points83%