Ipswich Town v Arsenal
A win cuts Ipswich's chances of going down to 24%; a loss raises them to 39%.
- Date
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Ipswich win 14%, draw 20%, Arsenal win 66%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Ipswich and Arsenal, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Ipswich 13th, Arsenal 1st, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Ipswich 11, Arsenal 24, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Ipswich 5, Arsenal 12, league median 8 |
| Offense | Ipswich 1.48, Arsenal 1.79, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Ipswich 1.69, Arsenal 0.73, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Ipswich <1%, Arsenal >99%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Arsenal 0 | Arsenal 1 | Arsenal 2 | Arsenal 3 | Arsenal 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich 0 | 5% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 4% | |
| Ipswich 1 | 3% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 4% | |
| Ipswich 2 | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | |
| Ipswich 3 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| Ipswich 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 |
Odds by result
| Result | IpswichRelegation | ArsenalTitle |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 80% |
| Ipswich win | , down 12 points24% | , down 7 points73% |
| Draw | , down 2 points34% | , down 1 point79% |
| Arsenal win | , up 3 points39% | , up 3 points83% |