Ipswich Town v Aston Villa

IpswichIpswich Town

12:30 PM ET

Aston VillaAston Villa

3.5 goals expected, the most of any match this week.

• Date Saturday, November 28

Tale of the tape

	Ipswich and Aston Villa, against the league medianIpswichAston Villa
Position	Ipswich 13th, Aston Villa 9th, league median 10.5th13th9th
Points	Ipswich 11, Aston Villa 12, league median 111112
Points, last 5	Ipswich 5, Aston Villa 11, league median 8511
Offense	Ipswich 1.48, Aston Villa 1.44, league median 1.451.481.44
Defense	Ipswich 1.69, Aston Villa 1.23, league median 1.241.691.23
Champions League odds	Ipswich <1%, Aston Villa 4%, league median 2%<1%4%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Ipswich goals down, Aston Villa goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 10%. The chance either side scores five or more is 6%.

		Aston Villa goals
		Aston Villa 0	Aston Villa 1	Aston Villa 2	Aston Villa 3	Aston Villa 4
Ipswich goals	Ipswich 0	4%	5%	5%	3%	1%
	Ipswich 1	5%	10%	9%	5%	2%
	Ipswich 2	4%	8%	7%	4%	2%
	Ipswich 3	2%	4%	4%	2%	1%
	Ipswich 4	1%	2%	2%	1%	<1%

Table

Where Ipswich and Aston Villa sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
8	Tottenham	29	0	12	2%
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	<1%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	3%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	2%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	<1%
14	Everton	30	−1	10	1%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	IpswichRelegation	Aston VillaChampions League
Now	36%	4%
Ipswich win	, down 8 points28%	, down 1 point3%
Draw	, no change36%	, no change4%
Aston Villa win	, up 7 points43%	, up 2 points6%