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Ipswich Town v Brentford

3.7 goals expected, 26% more than an average match; Brentford is 2 points out with 29 to play.

  • Date

Win chances: Brentford favored. Ipswich win 31%, draw 22%, Brentford win 47%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Ipswich and Brentford, against the league median
PositionIpswich 13th, Brentford 6th, league median 10.5th
PointsIpswich 11, Brentford 14, league median 11
Points, last 5Ipswich 5, Brentford 8, league median 8
OffenseIpswich 1.48, Brentford 1.63, league median 1.45
DefenseIpswich 1.69, Brentford 1.25, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsIpswich <1%, Brentford 15%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Ipswich goals down, Brentford goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 9%. The chance either side scores five or more is 8%.
Brentford 0Brentford 1Brentford 2Brentford 3Brentford 4
Ipswich 03%4%5%3%2%
Ipswich 13%9%8%6%3%
Ipswich 23%7%7%5%3%
Ipswich 32%4%4%3%1%
Ipswich 41%2%2%1%1%

Table

Where Ipswich and Brentford sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112
12Newcastle30−211
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultIpswichRelegationBrentfordChampions League
Now36%15%
Ipswich win, down 9 points27%, down 5 points10%
Draw, up 1 point37%, down 1 point14%
Brentford win, up 7 points43%, up 5 points20%