Ipswich Town v Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 83%, a loss to 72%.
- Date
Win chances: Brighton favored. Ipswich win 25%, draw 21%, Brighton win 54%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Ipswich and Brighton, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Ipswich 13th, Brighton 3rd, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Ipswich 11, Brighton 19, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Ipswich 5, Brighton 12, league median 8 |
| Offense | Ipswich 1.48, Brighton 1.74, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Ipswich 1.69, Brighton 1.09, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Ipswich <1%, Brighton 79%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Brighton 0 | Brighton 1 | Brighton 2 | Brighton 3 | Brighton 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich 0 | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% | |
| Ipswich 1 | 3% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 4% | |
| Ipswich 2 | 3% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 3% | |
| Ipswich 3 | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Ipswich 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 |
Odds by result
| Result | IpswichRelegation | BrightonChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 79% |
| Ipswich win | , down 10 points26% | , down 7 points72% |
| Draw | , no change36% | , down 4 points75% |
| Brighton win | , up 5 points41% | , up 4 points83% |