Ipswich Town v Coventry City
High stakesStakes 31 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Ipswich's chances of going down to 28%, Coventry's to 15%.
- Date
Win chances: Ipswich favored. Ipswich win 41%, draw 23%, Coventry win 36%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Ipswich and Coventry, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Ipswich 13th, Coventry 16th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Ipswich 11, Coventry 9, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Ipswich 5, Coventry 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Ipswich 1.48, Coventry 1.39, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Ipswich 1.69, Coventry 1.40, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Ipswich 36%, Coventry 22%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Coventry 0 | Coventry 1 | Coventry 2 | Coventry 3 | Coventry 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich 0 | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Ipswich 1 | 4% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | |
| Ipswich 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Ipswich 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | |
| Ipswich 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Ipswich | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 22% |
| Ipswich win | , down 8 points28% | , up 7 points29% |
| Draw | , up 1 point37% | , up 1 point23% |
| Coventry win | , up 8 points44% | , down 7 points15% |