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Ipswich Town v Hull City

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Ipswich's chances of going down to 28%, Hull's to 22%.

  • Date

Win chances: Ipswich favored. Ipswich win 44%, draw 25%, Hull win 31%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Ipswich and Hull, against the league median
PositionIpswich 13th, Hull 10th, league median 10.5th
PointsIpswich 11, Hull 11, league median 11
Points, last 5Ipswich 5, Hull 3, league median 8
OffenseIpswich 1.48, Hull 1.08, league median 1.45
DefenseIpswich 1.69, Hull 1.24, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsIpswich 36%, Hull 32%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Ipswich goals down, Hull goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Hull 0Hull 1Hull 2Hull 3Hull 4
Ipswich 06%6%5%2%1%
Ipswich 17%12%8%3%1%
Ipswich 27%9%6%3%1%
Ipswich 34%5%3%2%1%
Ipswich 42%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Ipswich and Hull sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
9Aston Villa29−312
10Hull29+111
11Leeds29+111
12Newcastle30−211
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultIpswichHull
Now36%32%
Ipswich win, down 8 points28%, up 7 points39%
Draw, up 4 points40%, down 2 points30%
Hull win, up 9 points45%, down 10 points22%