Ipswich Town v Hull City
High stakesStakes 34 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Ipswich's chances of going down to 28%, Hull's to 22%.
- Date
Win chances: Ipswich favored. Ipswich win 44%, draw 25%, Hull win 31%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Ipswich and Hull, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Ipswich 13th, Hull 10th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Ipswich 11, Hull 11, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Ipswich 5, Hull 3, league median 8 |
| Offense | Ipswich 1.48, Hull 1.08, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Ipswich 1.69, Hull 1.24, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Ipswich 36%, Hull 32%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Hull 0 | Hull 1 | Hull 2 | Hull 3 | Hull 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich 0 | 6% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Ipswich 1 | 7% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 1% | |
| Ipswich 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Ipswich 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Ipswich 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Ipswich | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 32% |
| Ipswich win | , down 8 points28% | , up 7 points39% |
| Draw | , up 4 points40% | , down 2 points30% |
| Hull win | , up 9 points45% | , down 10 points22% |