Ipswich Town v Leeds United

IpswichIpswich Town

10:00 AM ET

LeedsLeeds United

Leeds is 5 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

• Date Saturday, May 1

Tale of the tape

	Ipswich and Leeds, against the league medianIpswichLeeds
Position	Ipswich 13th, Leeds 11th, league median 10.5th13th11th
Points	Ipswich 11, Leeds 11, league median 111111
Points, last 5	Ipswich 5, Leeds 3, league median 853
Offense	Ipswich 1.48, Leeds 1.30, league median 1.451.481.30
Defense	Ipswich 1.69, Leeds 1.13, league median 1.241.691.13
Relegation odds	Ipswich 36%, Leeds 4%, league median 7%36%4%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Ipswich goals down, Leeds goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.

		Leeds goals
		Leeds 0	Leeds 1	Leeds 2	Leeds 3	Leeds 4
Ipswich goals	Ipswich 0	5%	6%	6%	3%	1%
	Ipswich 1	6%	11%	9%	5%	2%
	Ipswich 2	5%	8%	7%	4%	1%
	Ipswich 3	2%	4%	3%	2%	1%
	Ipswich 4	1%	2%	1%	1%	<1%

Table

Where Ipswich and Leeds sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
10	Hull	29	+1	11	32%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	36%
14	Everton	30	−1	10	14%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Ipswich	Leeds
Now	36%	4%
Ipswich win	, down 10 points26%	, up 2 points6%
Draw	, up 2 points38%	, up 1 point5%
Leeds win	, up 8 points44%	, down 2 points2%