Ipswich Town v Manchester City
3.8 goals expected, the most of any match this week.
- Date
Win chances: Man City favored. Ipswich win 22%, draw 20%, Man City win 58%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Ipswich and Man City, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Ipswich 13th, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Ipswich 11, Man City 21, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Ipswich 5, Man City 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Ipswich 1.48, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Ipswich 1.69, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Ipswich <1%, Man City 90%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Man City 0 | Man City 1 | Man City 2 | Man City 3 | Man City 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich 0 | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% | |
| Ipswich 1 | 3% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 4% | |
| Ipswich 2 | 2% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% | |
| Ipswich 3 | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Ipswich 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 |
Odds by result
| Result | IpswichRelegation | Man CityTitle |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 13% |
| Ipswich win | , down 10 points26% | , down 5 points8% |
| Draw | , down 1 point35% | , down 2 points11% |
| Man City win | , up 4 points40% | , up 2 points15% |