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Ipswich Town v Manchester City

3.8 goals expected, the most of any match this week.

  • Date

Win chances: Man City favored. Ipswich win 22%, draw 20%, Man City win 58%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Ipswich and Man City, against the league median
PositionIpswich 13th, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th
PointsIpswich 11, Man City 21, league median 11
Points, last 5Ipswich 5, Man City 9, league median 8
OffenseIpswich 1.48, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45
DefenseIpswich 1.69, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsIpswich <1%, Man City 90%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Ipswich goals down, Man City goals across. The most likely is 1–2 at 9%. The chance either side scores five or more is 11%.
Man City 0Man City 1Man City 2Man City 3Man City 4
Ipswich 03%5%6%5%3%
Ipswich 13%8%9%7%4%
Ipswich 22%5%6%5%3%
Ipswich 31%3%3%2%1%
Ipswich 4<1%1%1%1%1%

Table

Where Ipswich and Man City sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
12Newcastle30−211
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultIpswichRelegationMan CityTitle
Now36%13%
Ipswich win, down 10 points26%, down 5 points8%
Draw, down 1 point35%, down 2 points11%
Man City win, up 4 points40%, up 2 points15%