Ipswich Town v Manchester United
Man United is 9 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.
- Date
Win chances: Man United favored. Ipswich win 33%, draw 23%, Man United win 44%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Ipswich and Man United, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Ipswich 13th, Man United 17th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Ipswich 11, Man United 7, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Ipswich 5, Man United 3, league median 8 |
| Offense | Ipswich 1.48, Man United 1.55, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Ipswich 1.69, Man United 1.25, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Ipswich 36%, Man United 8%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Man United 0 | Man United 1 | Man United 2 | Man United 3 | Man United 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich 0 | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | |
| Ipswich 1 | 4% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 3% | |
| Ipswich 2 | 4% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 2% | |
| Ipswich 3 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | |
| Ipswich 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Ipswich | Man United |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 8% |
| Ipswich win | , down 10 points26% | , up 5 points13% |
| Draw | , up 1 point37% | , no change8% |
| Man United win | , up 7 points43% | , down 3 points5% |