Ipswich Town v Newcastle United

IpswichIpswich Town

10:00 AM ET

High scoringHigh scoring24% more goals than an average match, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.

NewcastleNewcastle United

3.7 goals expected, 24% more than an average match; Newcastle is 5 points out with 30 to play.

• Date Saturday, December 12

Tale of the tape

	Ipswich and Newcastle, against the league medianIpswichNewcastle
Position	Ipswich 13th, Newcastle 12th, league median 10.5th13th12th
Points	Ipswich 11, Newcastle 11, league median 111111
Points, last 5	Ipswich 5, Newcastle 6, league median 856
Offense	Ipswich 1.48, Newcastle 1.46, league median 1.451.481.46
Defense	Ipswich 1.69, Newcastle 1.36, league median 1.241.691.36
Relegation odds	Ipswich 36%, Newcastle 7%, league median 7%36%7%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Ipswich goals down, Newcastle goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 9%. The chance either side scores five or more is 8%.

		Newcastle goals
		Newcastle 0	Newcastle 1	Newcastle 2	Newcastle 3	Newcastle 4
Ipswich goals	Ipswich 0	3%	4%	4%	3%	1%
	Ipswich 1	4%	9%	8%	5%	2%
	Ipswich 2	4%	8%	7%	4%	2%
	Ipswich 3	3%	5%	4%	3%	1%
	Ipswich 4	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%

Table

Where Ipswich and Newcastle sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	36%
14	Everton	30	−1	10	14%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Ipswich	Newcastle
Now	36%	7%
Ipswich win	, down 9 points27%	, up 4 points11%
Draw	, up 2 points38%	, no change7%
Newcastle win	, up 8 points44%	, down 3 points4%