Ipswich Town v Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham is 4 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.
- Date
Win chances: Tottenham favored. Ipswich win 36%, draw 25%, Tottenham win 39%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Ipswich and Tottenham, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Ipswich 13th, Tottenham 8th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Ipswich 11, Tottenham 12, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Ipswich 5, Tottenham 10, league median 8 |
| Offense | Ipswich 1.48, Tottenham 1.34, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Ipswich 1.69, Tottenham 1.21, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Ipswich 36%, Tottenham 6%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Tottenham 0 | Tottenham 1 | Tottenham 2 | Tottenham 3 | Tottenham 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich 0 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Ipswich 1 | 5% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | |
| Ipswich 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Ipswich 3 | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Ipswich 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Ipswich | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 6% |
| Ipswich win | , down 8 points28% | , up 2 points8% |
| Draw | , up 1 point37% | , up 1 point7% |
| Tottenham win | , up 7 points43% | , down 3 points3% |