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Leeds United v Aston Villa

  • Date

Win chances: Leeds favored. Leeds win 41%, draw 28%, Aston Villa win 31%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Leeds and Aston Villa, against the league median
PositionLeeds 11th, Aston Villa 9th, league median 10.5th
PointsLeeds 11, Aston Villa 12, league median 11
Points, last 5Leeds 3, Aston Villa 11, league median 8
OffenseLeeds 1.30, Aston Villa 1.44, league median 1.45
DefenseLeeds 1.13, Aston Villa 1.23, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsLeeds 3%, Aston Villa 4%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Leeds goals down, Aston Villa goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.
Aston Villa 0Aston Villa 1Aston Villa 2Aston Villa 3Aston Villa 4
Leeds 08%8%5%2%1%
Leeds 19%13%7%3%1%
Leeds 27%9%5%2%1%
Leeds 34%4%3%1%<1%
Leeds 41%2%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Leeds and Aston Villa sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
8Tottenham29012
9Aston Villa29−312
10Hull29+111
11Leeds29+111
12Newcastle30−211

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultLeedsRelegationAston VillaChampions League
Now4%4%
Leeds win, down 1 point3%, down 1 point3%
Draw, up 1 point5%, no change4%
Aston Villa win, up 2 points6%, up 2 points6%