Leeds United v AFC Bournemouth

LeedsLeeds United

10:00 AM ET

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 31%, a loss to 20%.

• Date Saturday, February 6

Tale of the tape

	Leeds and Bournemouth, against the league medianLeedsBournemouth
Position	Leeds 11th, Bournemouth 7th, league median 10.5th11th7th
Points	Leeds 11, Bournemouth 12, league median 111112
Points, last 5	Leeds 3, Bournemouth 9, league median 839
Offense	Leeds 1.30, Bournemouth 1.67, league median 1.451.301.67
Defense	Leeds 1.13, Bournemouth 1.11, league median 1.241.131.11
Champions League odds	Leeds 3%, Bournemouth 26%, league median 2%3%26%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Leeds goals down, Bournemouth goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Bournemouth goals
		Bournemouth 0	Bournemouth 1	Bournemouth 2	Bournemouth 3	Bournemouth 4
Leeds goals	Leeds 0	7%	8%	7%	3%	1%
	Leeds 1	8%	13%	9%	4%	1%
	Leeds 2	6%	8%	6%	3%	1%
	Leeds 3	2%	3%	2%	1%	<1%
	Leeds 4	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Leeds and Bournemouth sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
6	Brentford	29	+7	14	15%
7	Bournemouth	29	+1	12	26%
8	Tottenham	29	0	12	2%
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	<1%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	3%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	2%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	LeedsRelegation	BournemouthChampions League
Now	4%	26%
Leeds win	, down 2 points2%	, down 6 points20%
Draw	, up 1 point5%	, down 2 points24%
Bournemouth win	, up 2 points6%	, up 5 points31%