Leeds United v Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 84%, a loss to 72%.
- Date
Win chances: Brighton favored. Leeds win 32%, draw 27%, Brighton win 41%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Leeds and Brighton, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Leeds 11th, Brighton 3rd, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Leeds 11, Brighton 19, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Leeds 3, Brighton 12, league median 8 |
| Offense | Leeds 1.30, Brighton 1.74, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Leeds 1.13, Brighton 1.09, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Leeds 3%, Brighton 79%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Brighton 0 | Brighton 1 | Brighton 2 | Brighton 3 | Brighton 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds 0 | 7% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Leeds 1 | 7% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 2% | |
| Leeds 2 | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Leeds 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Leeds 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 |
Odds by result
| Result | LeedsRelegation | BrightonChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 79% |
| Leeds win | , down 1 point3% | , down 7 points72% |
| Draw | , no change4% | , down 2 points77% |
| Brighton win | , up 2 points6% | , up 5 points84% |