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Leeds United v Chelsea

Home field evens it against Chelsea, 6th by rating; Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line.

  • Date

Win chances: Leeds favored. Leeds win 39%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 35%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Leeds and Chelsea, against the league median
PositionLeeds 11th, Chelsea 4th, league median 10.5th
PointsLeeds 11, Chelsea 16, league median 11
Points, last 5Leeds 3, Chelsea 9, league median 8
OffenseLeeds 1.30, Chelsea 1.69, league median 1.45
DefenseLeeds 1.13, Chelsea 1.28, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsLeeds 3%, Chelsea 28%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Leeds goals down, Chelsea goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Chelsea 0Chelsea 1Chelsea 2Chelsea 3Chelsea 4
Leeds 06%7%5%3%1%
Leeds 17%12%8%4%1%
Leeds 26%9%6%3%1%
Leeds 33%4%3%1%1%
Leeds 41%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Leeds and Chelsea sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
10Hull29+111
11Leeds29+111
12Newcastle30−211

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultLeedsRelegationChelseaChampions League
Now4%28%
Leeds win, down 2 points2%, down 6 points22%
Draw, up 1 point5%, down 2 points26%
Chelsea win, up 2 points6%, up 7 points35%