Leeds United v Coventry City

LeedsLeeds United

10:00 AM ET

CoventryCoventry City

Leeds is 5 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

• Date Saturday, November 28

Tale of the tape

	Leeds and Coventry, against the league medianLeedsCoventry
Position	Leeds 11th, Coventry 16th, league median 10.5th11th16th
Points	Leeds 11, Coventry 9, league median 11119
Points, last 5	Leeds 3, Coventry 9, league median 839
Offense	Leeds 1.30, Coventry 1.39, league median 1.451.301.39
Defense	Leeds 1.13, Coventry 1.40, league median 1.241.131.40
Relegation odds	Leeds 4%, Coventry 22%, league median 7%4%22%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Leeds goals down, Coventry goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Coventry goals
		Coventry 0	Coventry 1	Coventry 2	Coventry 3	Coventry 4
Leeds goals	Leeds 0	7%	6%	4%	2%	<1%
	Leeds 1	9%	12%	7%	3%	1%
	Leeds 2	8%	9%	6%	2%	1%
	Leeds 3	4%	5%	3%	1%	<1%
	Leeds 4	2%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Leeds and Coventry sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
10	Hull	29	+1	11	32%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
…
15	Fulham	29	−2	9	21%
16	Coventry	29	−7	9	22%
17	Man United	29	−5	7	8%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Leeds	Coventry
Now	4%	22%
Leeds win	, down 1 point3%	, up 5 points27%
Draw	, no change4%	, no change22%
Coventry win	, up 3 points7%	, down 7 points15%