Leeds United v Fulham

LeedsLeeds United

10:00 AM ET

FulhamFulham

Leeds is 5 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

• Date Saturday, December 19

Tale of the tape

	Leeds and Fulham, against the league medianLeedsFulham
Position	Leeds 11th, Fulham 15th, league median 10.5th11th15th
Points	Leeds 11, Fulham 9, league median 11119
Points, last 5	Leeds 3, Fulham 8, league median 838
Offense	Leeds 1.30, Fulham 1.25, league median 1.451.301.25
Defense	Leeds 1.13, Fulham 1.22, league median 1.241.131.22
Relegation odds	Leeds 4%, Fulham 21%, league median 7%4%21%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Leeds goals down, Fulham goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.

		Fulham goals
		Fulham 0	Fulham 1	Fulham 2	Fulham 3	Fulham 4
Leeds goals	Leeds 0	9%	8%	5%	2%	<1%
	Leeds 1	11%	13%	7%	2%	1%
	Leeds 2	8%	9%	5%	2%	<1%
	Leeds 3	4%	4%	2%	1%	<1%
	Leeds 4	1%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Leeds and Fulham sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
10	Hull	29	+1	11	32%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	36%
14	Everton	30	−1	10	14%
15	Fulham	29	−2	9	21%
16	Coventry	29	−7	9	22%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Leeds	Fulham
Now	4%	21%
Leeds win	, down 1 point3%	, up 5 points26%
Draw	, up 1 point5%	, down 1 point20%
Fulham win	, up 2 points6%	, down 8 points13%