Leeds United v Hull City
Leeds is 5 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.
- Date
Win chances: Leeds favored. Leeds win 49%, draw 28%, Hull win 23%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Leeds and Hull, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Leeds 11th, Hull 10th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Leeds 11, Hull 11, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Leeds 3, Hull 3, league median 8 |
| Offense | Leeds 1.30, Hull 1.08, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Leeds 1.13, Hull 1.24, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Leeds 4%, Hull 32%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Hull 0 | Hull 1 | Hull 2 | Hull 3 | Hull 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds 0 | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Leeds 1 | 13% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | |
| Leeds 2 | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Leeds 3 | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Leeds 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Leeds | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 32% |
| Leeds win | , down 2 points2% | , up 4 points36% |
| Draw | , up 1 point5% | , down 1 point31% |
| Hull win | , up 3 points7% | , down 10 points22% |