Leeds United v Liverpool
Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 57%, a loss drops them to 40%.
- Date
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Leeds win 33%, draw 28%, Liverpool win 39%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Leeds and Liverpool, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Leeds 11th, Liverpool 5th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Leeds 11, Liverpool 15, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Leeds 3, Liverpool 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Leeds 1.30, Liverpool 1.66, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Leeds 1.13, Liverpool 1.08, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Leeds 3%, Liverpool 49%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Liverpool 0 | Liverpool 1 | Liverpool 2 | Liverpool 3 | Liverpool 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds 0 | 8% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Leeds 1 | 8% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | |
| Leeds 2 | 6% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Leeds 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Leeds 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 |
Odds by result
| Result | LeedsRelegation | LiverpoolChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 49% |
| Leeds win | , down 1 point3% | , down 9 points40% |
| Draw | , no change4% | , down 2 points47% |
| Liverpool win | , up 2 points6% | , up 8 points57% |