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Leeds United v Manchester City

  • Date

Win chances: Man City favored. Leeds win 29%, draw 26%, Man City win 45%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Leeds and Man City, against the league median
PositionLeeds 11th, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th
PointsLeeds 11, Man City 21, league median 11
Points, last 5Leeds 3, Man City 9, league median 8
OffenseLeeds 1.30, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45
DefenseLeeds 1.13, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsLeeds 3%, Man City 90%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Leeds goals down, Man City goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Man City 0Man City 1Man City 2Man City 3Man City 4
Leeds 07%8%7%4%2%
Leeds 16%12%9%5%2%
Leeds 25%7%6%3%1%
Leeds 32%3%2%1%1%
Leeds 41%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Leeds and Man City sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
10Hull29+111
11Leeds29+111
12Newcastle30−211

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultLeedsRelegationMan CityTitle
Now4%13%
Leeds win, down 1 point3%, down 4 points9%
Draw, no change4%, down 2 points11%
Man City win, up 1 point5%, up 3 points16%