Leeds United v Nottingham Forest

LeedsLeeds United

10:00 AM ET

Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest

Leeds is 5 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

• Date Saturday, April 10

Tale of the tape

	Leeds and Nott'm Forest, against the league medianLeedsNott'm Forest
Position	Leeds 11th, Nott'm Forest 19th, league median 10.5th11th19th
Points	Leeds 11, Nott'm Forest 6, league median 11116
Points, last 5	Leeds 3, Nott'm Forest 1, league median 831
Offense	Leeds 1.30, Nott'm Forest 1.28, league median 1.451.301.28
Defense	Leeds 1.13, Nott'm Forest 1.23, league median 1.241.131.23
Relegation odds	Leeds 4%, Nott'm Forest 29%, league median 7%4%29%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Leeds goals down, Nott'm Forest goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.

		Nott'm Forest goals
		Nott'm Forest 0	Nott'm Forest 1	Nott'm Forest 2	Nott'm Forest 3	Nott'm Forest 4
Leeds goals	Leeds 0	9%	8%	5%	2%	<1%
	Leeds 1	11%	13%	7%	2%	1%
	Leeds 2	8%	9%	5%	2%	<1%
	Leeds 3	4%	4%	2%	1%	<1%
	Leeds 4	1%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Leeds and Nott'm Forest sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
10	Hull	29	+1	11	32%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
…
18	Crystal Palace	29	−12	7	61%
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	29%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	55%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Leeds	Nott'm Forest
Now	4%	29%
Leeds win	, down 2 points2%	, up 5 points34%
Draw	, up 1 point5%	, no change29%
Nott'm Forest win	, up 3 points7%	, down 9 points20%