Leeds United v Sunderland

LeedsLeeds United

10:00 AM ET

SunderlandSunderland

Leeds is 5 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

• Date Sunday, May 23

Tale of the tape

	Leeds and Sunderland, against the league medianLeedsSunderland
Position	Leeds 11th, Sunderland 20th, league median 10.5th11th20th
Points	Leeds 11, Sunderland 5, league median 11115
Points, last 5	Leeds 3, Sunderland 1, league median 831
Offense	Leeds 1.30, Sunderland 1.17, league median 1.451.301.17
Defense	Leeds 1.13, Sunderland 1.31, league median 1.241.131.31
Relegation odds	Leeds 4%, Sunderland 55%, league median 7%4%55%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Leeds goals down, Sunderland goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.

		Sunderland goals
		Sunderland 0	Sunderland 1	Sunderland 2	Sunderland 3	Sunderland 4
Leeds goals	Leeds 0	9%	7%	4%	1%	<1%
	Leeds 1	11%	13%	6%	2%	<1%
	Leeds 2	9%	9%	5%	2%	<1%
	Leeds 3	5%	5%	2%	1%	<1%
	Leeds 4	2%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Leeds and Sunderland sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
10	Hull	29	+1	11	32%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
…
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	29%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	55%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Leeds	Sunderland
Now	4%	55%
Leeds win	, down 2 points2%	, up 6 points61%
Draw	, up 2 points6%	, no change55%
Sunderland win	, up 3 points7%	, down 11 points44%