Liverpool v AFC Bournemouth
5th and 7th both chase fourth place; a win lifts Liverpool to 57%, Bournemouth to 36%.
- Date
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 44%, draw 26%, Bournemouth win 30%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Liverpool and Bournemouth, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Liverpool 5th, Bournemouth 7th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Liverpool 15, Bournemouth 12, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Liverpool 9, Bournemouth 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Liverpool 1.66, Bournemouth 1.67, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Liverpool 1.08, Bournemouth 1.11, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Liverpool 49%, Bournemouth 26%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Bournemouth 0 | Bournemouth 1 | Bournemouth 2 | Bournemouth 3 | Bournemouth 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool 0 | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Liverpool 1 | 7% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Liverpool 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Liverpool 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Liverpool 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Liverpool | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 49% | 26% |
| Liverpool win | , up 8 points57% | , down 8 points18% |
| Draw | , down 2 points47% | , down 1 point25% |
| Bournemouth win | , down 11 points38% | , up 10 points36% |