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Liverpool v Brentford

5th and 6th both chase fourth place; a win lifts Liverpool to 56%, Brentford to 24%.

  • Date

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 50%, draw 24%, Brentford win 26%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Liverpool and Brentford, against the league median
PositionLiverpool 5th, Brentford 6th, league median 10.5th
PointsLiverpool 15, Brentford 14, league median 11
Points, last 5Liverpool 9, Brentford 8, league median 8
OffenseLiverpool 1.66, Brentford 1.63, league median 1.45
DefenseLiverpool 1.08, Brentford 1.25, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsLiverpool 49%, Brentford 15%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Liverpool goals down, Brentford goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 5%.
Brentford 0Brentford 1Brentford 2Brentford 3Brentford 4
Liverpool 05%5%4%2%1%
Liverpool 17%11%7%3%1%
Liverpool 27%10%6%3%1%
Liverpool 35%6%4%2%1%
Liverpool 42%3%2%1%<1%

Table

Where Liverpool and Brentford sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112

Full table

Champions League odds by result

Each team's Champions League odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultLiverpoolBrentford
Now49%15%
Liverpool win, up 7 points56%, down 4 points11%
Draw, down 4 points45%, up 1 point16%
Brentford win, down 10 points39%, up 9 points24%