Liverpool v Brentford
5th and 6th both chase fourth place; a win lifts Liverpool to 56%, Brentford to 24%.
- Date
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 50%, draw 24%, Brentford win 26%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Liverpool and Brentford, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Liverpool 5th, Brentford 6th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Liverpool 15, Brentford 14, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Liverpool 9, Brentford 8, league median 8 |
| Offense | Liverpool 1.66, Brentford 1.63, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Liverpool 1.08, Brentford 1.25, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Liverpool 49%, Brentford 15%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Brentford 0 | Brentford 1 | Brentford 2 | Brentford 3 | Brentford 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool 0 | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Liverpool 1 | 7% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Liverpool 2 | 7% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Liverpool 3 | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Liverpool 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Liverpool | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 49% | 15% |
| Liverpool win | , up 7 points56% | , down 4 points11% |
| Draw | , down 4 points45% | , up 1 point16% |
| Brentford win | , down 10 points39% | , up 9 points24% |