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Liverpool v Crystal Palace

LiverpoolLiverpool
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 53%, a loss drops them to 38%.

  • Date

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 65%, draw 20%, Crystal Palace win 15%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Liverpool and Crystal Palace, against the league median
PositionLiverpool 5th, Crystal Palace 18th, league median 10.5th
PointsLiverpool 15, Crystal Palace 7, league median 11
Points, last 5Liverpool 9, Crystal Palace 4, league median 8
OffenseLiverpool 1.66, Crystal Palace 1.33, league median 1.45
DefenseLiverpool 1.08, Crystal Palace 1.55, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsLiverpool 49%, Crystal Palace <1%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Liverpool goals down, Crystal Palace goals across. The most likely is 2–1 at 10%. The chance either side scores five or more is 9%.
Crystal Palace 0Crystal Palace 1Crystal Palace 2Crystal Palace 3Crystal Palace 4
Liverpool 04%3%2%1%<1%
Liverpool 17%9%4%2%<1%
Liverpool 29%10%5%2%<1%
Liverpool 37%8%4%1%<1%
Liverpool 44%4%2%1%<1%

Table

Where Liverpool and Crystal Palace sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127
19Nott'm Forest29−66

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultLiverpoolChampions LeagueCrystal PalaceRelegation
Now49%61%
Liverpool win, up 4 points53%, up 3 points64%
Draw, down 7 points42%, down 1 point60%
Crystal Palace win, down 11 points38%, down 14 points47%