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Liverpool v Everton

Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 53%, a loss drops them to 39%.

  • Date

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 57%, draw 24%, Everton win 19%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Liverpool and Everton, against the league median
PositionLiverpool 5th, Everton 14th, league median 10.5th
PointsLiverpool 15, Everton 10, league median 11
Points, last 5Liverpool 9, Everton 5, league median 8
OffenseLiverpool 1.66, Everton 1.24, league median 1.45
DefenseLiverpool 1.08, Everton 1.24, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsLiverpool 49%, Everton 1%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Liverpool goals down, Everton goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 5%.
Everton 0Everton 1Everton 2Everton 3Everton 4
Liverpool 06%5%3%1%<1%
Liverpool 110%11%5%2%<1%
Liverpool 210%10%5%2%<1%
Liverpool 36%6%3%1%<1%
Liverpool 43%3%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Liverpool and Everton sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultLiverpoolChampions LeagueEvertonRelegation
Now49%14%
Liverpool win, up 4 points53%, up 2 points16%
Draw, down 3 points46%, no change14%
Everton win, down 10 points39%, down 5 points9%