Liverpool v Manchester United
Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 56%, a loss drops them to 39%.
- Date
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 51%, draw 24%, Man United win 25%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Liverpool and Man United, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Liverpool 5th, Man United 17th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Liverpool 15, Man United 7, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Liverpool 9, Man United 3, league median 8 |
| Offense | Liverpool 1.66, Man United 1.55, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Liverpool 1.08, Man United 1.25, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Liverpool 49%, Man United 2%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Man United 0 | Man United 1 | Man United 2 | Man United 3 | Man United 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool 0 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Liverpool 1 | 8% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Liverpool 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Liverpool 3 | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | |
| Liverpool 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 |
Odds by result
| Result | LiverpoolChampions League | Man UnitedRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 49% | 8% |
| Liverpool win | , up 7 points56% | , up 3 points11% |
| Draw | , down 6 points43% | , no change8% |
| Man United win | , down 10 points39% | , down 4 points4% |