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Liverpool v Tottenham Hotspur

Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 54%, a loss drops them to 40%.

  • Date

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 54%, draw 24%, Tottenham win 22%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Liverpool and Tottenham, against the league median
PositionLiverpool 5th, Tottenham 8th, league median 10.5th
PointsLiverpool 15, Tottenham 12, league median 11
Points, last 5Liverpool 9, Tottenham 10, league median 8
OffenseLiverpool 1.66, Tottenham 1.34, league median 1.45
DefenseLiverpool 1.08, Tottenham 1.21, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsLiverpool 49%, Tottenham 2%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Liverpool goals down, Tottenham goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Tottenham 0Tottenham 1Tottenham 2Tottenham 3Tottenham 4
Liverpool 06%5%3%1%<1%
Liverpool 19%12%6%2%1%
Liverpool 29%10%5%2%1%
Liverpool 36%6%3%1%<1%
Liverpool 43%3%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Liverpool and Tottenham sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112
8Tottenham29012
9Aston Villa29−312

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultLiverpoolChampions LeagueTottenhamRelegation
Now49%6%
Liverpool win, up 5 points54%, up 1 point7%
Draw, down 4 points45%, no change6%
Tottenham win, down 9 points40%, down 3 points3%