Manchester City v Aston Villa
Man City's last home game of the regular season.
- Date
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 58%, draw 22%, Aston Villa win 20%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Man City and Aston Villa, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Man City 2nd, Aston Villa 9th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Man City 21, Aston Villa 12, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Man City 9, Aston Villa 11, league median 8 |
| Offense | Man City 1.88, Aston Villa 1.44, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Man City 1.06, Aston Villa 1.23, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Man City 90%, Aston Villa 4%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Aston Villa 0 | Aston Villa 1 | Aston Villa 2 | Aston Villa 3 | Aston Villa 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City 0 | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Man City 1 | 8% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Man City 2 | 9% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Man City 3 | 6% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Man City 4 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Man City | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 90% | 4% |
| Man City win | , up 2 points92% | , down 1 point3% |
| Draw | , down 2 points88% | , up 1 point5% |
| Aston Villa win | , down 4 points86% | , up 4 points8% |