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Manchester City v Hull City

Man City is 6 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 92%, a loss to 84%.

  • Date

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 65%, draw 21%, Hull win 14%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Man City and Hull, against the league median
PositionMan City 2nd, Hull 10th, league median 10.5th
PointsMan City 21, Hull 11, league median 11
Points, last 5Man City 9, Hull 3, league median 8
OffenseMan City 1.88, Hull 1.08, league median 1.45
DefenseMan City 1.06, Hull 1.24, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsMan City 90%, Hull <1%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Man City goals down, Hull goals across. The most likely is 2–0 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 6%.
Hull 0Hull 1Hull 2Hull 3Hull 4
Man City 06%4%2%1%<1%
Man City 110%10%4%1%<1%
Man City 211%10%4%1%<1%
Man City 38%7%3%1%<1%
Man City 44%4%2%<1%<1%

Table

Where Man City and Hull sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
9Aston Villa29−312
10Hull29+111
11Leeds29+111

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultMan CityChampions LeagueHullRelegation
Now90%32%
Man City win, up 2 points92%, up 3 points35%
Draw, down 3 points87%, down 3 points29%
Hull win, down 6 points84%, down 13 points19%