Manchester City v Hull City
High stakesStakes 32 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Man City is 6 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 92%, a loss to 84%.
- Date
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 65%, draw 21%, Hull win 14%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Man City and Hull, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Man City 2nd, Hull 10th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Man City 21, Hull 11, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Man City 9, Hull 3, league median 8 |
| Offense | Man City 1.88, Hull 1.08, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Man City 1.06, Hull 1.24, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Man City 90%, Hull <1%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Hull 0 | Hull 1 | Hull 2 | Hull 3 | Hull 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City 0 | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Man City 1 | 10% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Man City 2 | 11% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Man City 3 | 8% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Man City 4 | 4% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 |
Odds by result
| Result | Man CityChampions League | HullRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 90% | 32% |
| Man City win | , up 2 points92% | , up 3 points35% |
| Draw | , down 3 points87% | , down 3 points29% |
| Hull win | , down 6 points84% | , down 13 points19% |