Manchester City v Liverpool
Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 61%, a loss drops them to 43%.
- Date
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 49%, draw 24%, Liverpool win 27%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Man City and Liverpool, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Man City 2nd, Liverpool 5th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Man City 21, Liverpool 15, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Man City 9, Liverpool 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Man City 1.88, Liverpool 1.66, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Man City 1.06, Liverpool 1.08, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Man City 90%, Liverpool 49%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Liverpool 0 | Liverpool 1 | Liverpool 2 | Liverpool 3 | Liverpool 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City 0 | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Man City 1 | 7% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Man City 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Man City 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Man City 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 |
Odds by result
| Result | Man CityTitle | LiverpoolChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 13% | 49% |
| Man City win | , up 3 points16% | , down 6 points43% |
| Draw | , down 2 points11% | , down 2 points47% |
| Liverpool win | , down 5 points8% | , up 12 points61% |