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Manchester City v Manchester United

  • Date

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 57%, draw 22%, Man United win 21%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Man City and Man United, against the league median
PositionMan City 2nd, Man United 17th, league median 10.5th
PointsMan City 21, Man United 7, league median 11
Points, last 5Man City 9, Man United 3, league median 8
OffenseMan City 1.88, Man United 1.55, league median 1.45
DefenseMan City 1.06, Man United 1.25, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsMan City 90%, Man United 2%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Man City goals down, Man United goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 10%. The chance either side scores five or more is 7%.
Man United 0Man United 1Man United 2Man United 3Man United 4
Man City 04%4%3%1%<1%
Man City 17%10%6%2%1%
Man City 28%10%6%2%1%
Man City 36%7%4%2%1%
Man City 43%4%2%1%<1%

Table

Where Man City and Man United sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultMan CityChampions LeagueMan UnitedRelegation
Now90%8%
Man City win, up 2 points92%, up 2 points10%
Draw, no change90%, no change8%
Man United win, down 4 points86%, down 3 points5%