Manchester City v Newcastle United
- Date
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 63%, draw 20%, Newcastle win 17%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Man City and Newcastle, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Man City 2nd, Newcastle 12th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Man City 21, Newcastle 11, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Man City 9, Newcastle 6, league median 8 |
| Offense | Man City 1.88, Newcastle 1.46, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Man City 1.06, Newcastle 1.36, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Man City 90%, Newcastle 2%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Newcastle 0 | Newcastle 1 | Newcastle 2 | Newcastle 3 | Newcastle 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City 0 | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Man City 1 | 7% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Man City 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Man City 3 | 6% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | |
| Man City 4 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 |
Odds by result
| Result | Man CityChampions League | NewcastleRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 90% | 7% |
| Man City win | , up 2 points92% | , up 2 points9% |
| Draw | , down 2 points88% | , down 1 point6% |
| Newcastle win | , down 5 points85% | , down 3 points4% |