Manchester City v Nottingham Forest
High stakesStakes 29 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Man City is 6 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 93%, a loss to 84%.
- Date
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 61%, draw 22%, Nott'm Forest win 17%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Man City and Nott'm Forest, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Man City 2nd, Nott'm Forest 19th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Man City 21, Nott'm Forest 6, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Man City 9, Nott'm Forest 1, league median 8 |
| Offense | Man City 1.88, Nott'm Forest 1.28, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Man City 1.06, Nott'm Forest 1.23, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Man City 90%, Nott'm Forest <1%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Nott'm Forest 0 | Nott'm Forest 1 | Nott'm Forest 2 | Nott'm Forest 3 | Nott'm Forest 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City 0 | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Man City 1 | 9% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| Man City 2 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| Man City 3 | 7% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Man City 4 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Odds by result
| Result | Man CityChampions League | Nott'm ForestRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 90% | 29% |
| Man City win | , up 3 points93% | , up 3 points32% |
| Draw | , down 2 points88% | , down 2 points27% |
| Nott'm Forest win | , down 6 points84% | , down 11 points18% |