Skip to content

Manchester United v Arsenal

  • Date

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Man United win 22%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 52%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Man United and Arsenal, against the league median
PositionMan United 17th, Arsenal 1st, league median 10.5th
PointsMan United 7, Arsenal 24, league median 11
Points, last 5Man United 3, Arsenal 12, league median 8
OffenseMan United 1.55, Arsenal 1.79, league median 1.45
DefenseMan United 1.25, Arsenal 0.73, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsMan United 2%, Arsenal >99%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Man United goals down, Arsenal goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Arsenal 0Arsenal 1Arsenal 2Arsenal 3Arsenal 4
Man United 08%10%9%5%2%
Man United 16%12%10%5%2%
Man United 24%6%5%3%1%
Man United 31%2%2%1%<1%
Man United 4<1%1%<1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Man United and Arsenal sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultMan UnitedRelegationArsenalTitle
Now8%80%
Man United win, down 3 points5%, down 6 points74%
Draw, down 1 point7%, down 2 points78%
Arsenal win, up 3 points11%, up 4 points84%