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Manchester United v Aston Villa

Man United is the favorite despite sitting 8 places below Aston Villa.

  • Date
  • Venue Old Trafford, Manchester
  • Where to watch in the US: Not listed yet

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 46%, draw 25%, Aston Villa win 29%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Man United and Aston Villa, against the league median
PositionMan United 17th, Aston Villa 9th, league median 10.5th
PointsMan United 7, Aston Villa 12, league median 11
Points, last 5Man United 3, Aston Villa 11, league median 8
OffenseMan United 1.55, Aston Villa 1.44, league median 1.45
DefenseMan United 1.25, Aston Villa 1.23, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsMan United 2%, Aston Villa 4%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Man United goals down, Aston Villa goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Aston Villa 0Aston Villa 1Aston Villa 2Aston Villa 3Aston Villa 4
Man United 06%6%4%2%1%
Man United 17%12%7%3%1%
Man United 27%9%6%3%1%
Man United 34%5%4%2%1%
Man United 42%2%2%1%<1%

Table

Where Man United and Aston Villa sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
8Tottenham29012
9Aston Villa29−312
10Hull29+111
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultMan UnitedRelegationAston VillaChampions League
Now8%4%
Man United win, down 2 points6%, down 1 point3%
Draw, up 1 point9%, no change4%
Aston Villa win, up 4 points12%, up 3 points7%