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Manchester United v Brentford

Man United is the favorite despite sitting 11 places below Brentford.

  • Date

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 43%, draw 24%, Brentford win 33%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Man United and Brentford, against the league median
PositionMan United 17th, Brentford 6th, league median 10.5th
PointsMan United 7, Brentford 14, league median 11
Points, last 5Man United 3, Brentford 8, league median 8
OffenseMan United 1.55, Brentford 1.63, league median 1.45
DefenseMan United 1.25, Brentford 1.25, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsMan United 2%, Brentford 15%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Man United goals down, Brentford goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 5%.
Brentford 0Brentford 1Brentford 2Brentford 3Brentford 4
Man United 05%5%4%2%1%
Man United 16%11%8%4%1%
Man United 26%9%7%3%1%
Man United 33%5%4%2%1%
Man United 41%2%2%1%<1%

Table

Where Man United and Brentford sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultMan UnitedRelegationBrentfordChampions League
Now8%15%
Man United win, down 3 points5%, down 3 points12%
Draw, up 1 point9%, no change15%
Brentford win, up 4 points12%, up 6 points21%