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Manchester United v Brighton & Hove Albion

The table says 17th vs. 3rd, but the win chances are 36% and 39%.

  • Date

Win chances: Brighton favored. Man United win 36%, draw 25%, Brighton win 39%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Man United and Brighton, against the league median
PositionMan United 17th, Brighton 3rd, league median 10.5th
PointsMan United 7, Brighton 19, league median 11
Points, last 5Man United 3, Brighton 12, league median 8
OffenseMan United 1.55, Brighton 1.74, league median 1.45
DefenseMan United 1.25, Brighton 1.09, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsMan United 2%, Brighton 79%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Man United goals down, Brighton goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Brighton 0Brighton 1Brighton 2Brighton 3Brighton 4
Man United 05%6%6%3%1%
Man United 16%11%9%5%2%
Man United 25%8%7%4%1%
Man United 33%4%3%2%1%
Man United 41%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Man United and Brighton sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultMan UnitedRelegationBrightonChampions League
Now8%79%
Man United win, down 3 points5%, down 6 points73%
Draw, up 1 point9%, down 2 points77%
Brighton win, up 3 points11%, up 5 points84%