Manchester United v Brighton & Hove Albion
The table says 17th vs. 3rd, but the win chances are 36% and 39%.
- Date
Win chances: Brighton favored. Man United win 36%, draw 25%, Brighton win 39%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Man United and Brighton, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Man United 17th, Brighton 3rd, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Man United 7, Brighton 19, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Man United 3, Brighton 12, league median 8 |
| Offense | Man United 1.55, Brighton 1.74, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Man United 1.25, Brighton 1.09, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Man United 2%, Brighton 79%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Brighton 0 | Brighton 1 | Brighton 2 | Brighton 3 | Brighton 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man United 0 | 5% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Man United 1 | 6% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Man United 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Man United 3 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Man United 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 |
Odds by result
| Result | Man UnitedRelegation | BrightonChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 8% | 79% |
| Man United win | , down 3 points5% | , down 6 points73% |
| Draw | , up 1 point9% | , down 2 points77% |
| Brighton win | , up 3 points11% | , up 5 points84% |