Manchester United v Chelsea
Man United is the favorite despite sitting 13 places below Chelsea.
- Date
Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 42%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 34%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Man United and Chelsea, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Man United 17th, Chelsea 4th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Man United 7, Chelsea 16, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Man United 3, Chelsea 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Man United 1.55, Chelsea 1.69, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Man United 1.25, Chelsea 1.28, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Man United 2%, Chelsea 28%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Chelsea 0 | Chelsea 1 | Chelsea 2 | Chelsea 3 | Chelsea 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man United 0 | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Man United 1 | 5% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Man United 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Man United 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Man United 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 |
Odds by result
| Result | Man UnitedRelegation | ChelseaChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 8% | 28% |
| Man United win | , down 3 points5% | , down 5 points23% |
| Draw | , up 1 point9% | , down 1 point27% |
| Chelsea win | , up 4 points12% | , up 6 points34% |