Manchester United v Fulham
Man United is 9 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to under 1%.
- Date
Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 49%, draw 26%, Fulham win 25%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Man United and Fulham, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Man United 17th, Fulham 15th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Man United 7, Fulham 9, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Man United 3, Fulham 8, league median 8 |
| Offense | Man United 1.55, Fulham 1.25, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Man United 1.25, Fulham 1.22, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Man United 8%, Fulham 21%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Fulham 0 | Fulham 1 | Fulham 2 | Fulham 3 | Fulham 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man United 0 | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | |
| Man United 1 | 9% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Man United 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Man United 3 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Man United 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Man United | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 8% | 21% |
| Man United win | , down 3 points5% | , up 4 points25% |
| Draw | , up 2 points10% | , down 1 point20% |
| Fulham win | , up 5 points13% | , down 8 points13% |