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Manchester United v Fulham

Man United is 9 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to under 1%.

  • Date

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 49%, draw 26%, Fulham win 25%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Man United and Fulham, against the league median
PositionMan United 17th, Fulham 15th, league median 10.5th
PointsMan United 7, Fulham 9, league median 11
Points, last 5Man United 3, Fulham 8, league median 8
OffenseMan United 1.55, Fulham 1.25, league median 1.45
DefenseMan United 1.25, Fulham 1.22, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsMan United 8%, Fulham 21%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Man United goals down, Fulham goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Fulham 0Fulham 1Fulham 2Fulham 3Fulham 4
Man United 06%6%4%2%<1%
Man United 19%12%7%3%1%
Man United 28%10%6%2%1%
Man United 35%5%3%1%<1%
Man United 42%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Man United and Fulham sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultMan UnitedFulham
Now8%21%
Man United win, down 3 points5%, up 4 points25%
Draw, up 2 points10%, down 1 point20%
Fulham win, up 5 points13%, down 8 points13%