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Manchester United v Liverpool

Home field evens it against Liverpool, 4th by rating; Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play.

  • Date

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Man United win 36%, draw 26%, Liverpool win 38%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Man United and Liverpool, against the league median
PositionMan United 17th, Liverpool 5th, league median 10.5th
PointsMan United 7, Liverpool 15, league median 11
Points, last 5Man United 3, Liverpool 9, league median 8
OffenseMan United 1.55, Liverpool 1.66, league median 1.45
DefenseMan United 1.25, Liverpool 1.08, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsMan United 2%, Liverpool 49%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Man United goals down, Liverpool goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Liverpool 0Liverpool 1Liverpool 2Liverpool 3Liverpool 4
Man United 06%6%6%3%1%
Man United 16%12%9%4%2%
Man United 25%8%6%3%1%
Man United 33%4%3%2%1%
Man United 41%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Man United and Liverpool sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultMan UnitedRelegationLiverpoolChampions League
Now8%49%
Man United win, down 2 points6%, down 8 points41%
Draw, no change8%, down 1 point48%
Liverpool win, up 3 points11%, up 8 points57%