Manchester United v Newcastle United
Man United is the favorite despite sitting 5 places below Newcastle.
- Date
Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 49%, draw 24%, Newcastle win 27%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Man United and Newcastle, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Man United 17th, Newcastle 12th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Man United 7, Newcastle 11, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Man United 3, Newcastle 6, league median 8 |
| Offense | Man United 1.55, Newcastle 1.46, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Man United 1.25, Newcastle 1.36, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Man United 8%, Newcastle 7%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Newcastle 0 | Newcastle 1 | Newcastle 2 | Newcastle 3 | Newcastle 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man United 0 | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Man United 1 | 7% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Man United 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Man United 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Man United 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Man United | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 8% | 7% |
| Man United win | , down 2 points6% | , up 2 points9% |
| Draw | , up 2 points10% | , up 1 point8% |
| Newcastle win | , up 4 points12% | , down 2 points5% |