Newcastle United v Arsenal
- Date
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Newcastle win 19%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 57%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Newcastle and Arsenal, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Newcastle 12th, Arsenal 1st, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Newcastle 11, Arsenal 24, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Newcastle 6, Arsenal 12, league median 8 |
| Offense | Newcastle 1.46, Arsenal 1.79, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Newcastle 1.36, Arsenal 0.73, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Newcastle 2%, Arsenal >99%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Arsenal 0 | Arsenal 1 | Arsenal 2 | Arsenal 3 | Arsenal 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 0 | 7% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 3% | |
| Newcastle 1 | 5% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | |
| Newcastle 2 | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Newcastle 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 |
Odds by result
| Result | NewcastleRelegation | ArsenalTitle |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | 80% |
| Newcastle win | , down 3 points4% | , down 6 points74% |
| Draw | , no change7% | , down 2 points78% |
| Arsenal win | , up 2 points9% | , up 4 points84% |