Newcastle United v Aston Villa
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 17 at 12:15 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 44%, draw 25%, Aston Villa win 31%.
Issued Oct 17 at 12:15 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Most likely scores
| Aston Villa 0 | Aston Villa 1 | Aston Villa 2 | Aston Villa 3 | Aston Villa 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 0 | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 1 | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 3 | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 4 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 |
